Countdown to Goshen 2015

[youroo]

Thanks Frank-VA and all the other replies on the Moon Phase,Now I am concerned about The (High Tide) level during Goshen,in regards to Lake Michigan! Youroo!!

[BamaBob]

PHRANK....THANKS!!!


Hmmm 10 March...152 days to the FROG Rally...should we start a lottery on what date registration will open?

[LittlePM]

My guess is 12 March at 09:01

[Kaadk]

I'm hoping it takes a while to open registration. The longer it takes, the better my chances of finding out whether or not we can get the time off work. Right now, they're telling us they can't let us know until July.


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[SYE]

Originally Posted by Kaadk

I'm hoping it takes a while to open registration. The longer it takes, the better my chances of finding out whether or not we can get the time off work. Right now, they're telling us they can't let us know until July.


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Does it really matter when registration opens, it really does not matter as long as you register.

[asquared]

Originally Posted by SYE

Does it really matter when registration opens, it really does not matter as long as you register.

I don't know what's the max registration they can allow? Have they ever booked to capacity yet?

[B and B]

Originally Posted by Kaadk

I'm hoping it takes a while to open registration. The longer it takes, the better my chances of finding out whether or not we can get the time off work. Right now, they're telling us they can't let us know until July.


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That's as bad as the Tunnel BBQ closing One of my fond memories of Windsor!! Hope the delay means more $$$ or OT Kaadk!!

[F.R.O.G.]

The fairgrounds can handle about 850 to 900 RVs, and we're expecting around 700-725, although I'm starting to think that might be a low figure. The big issue is being able to feed everyone. The building where we eat has been configured to hold nearly 2,000, although that requires switching from round to rectangular tables and is tight. I don't think we'll need to worry about being that tight, but we could have close to 1,500.

Our attendance in the past has been:
2012 = 208 RVs
2013 = 354 RVs
2014 = 510 RVs
2015 projected to be 700+

Everyone will have electricity and water, and everyone will have either a sewer hookup or a free pump-out midweek if desired. Registering early doesn't guarantee that you'll have 50-amp service or a sewer site. If you're interested in any of the optional tours, you'll want to register early because we expect virtually all of those to sell out. (All but one sold out last year.)

I did some more system testing this afternoon and at home tonight. There's a little more programming to do to tie the registration and payment systems together and to e-mail receipts and confirmations on the spot, but we're just about ready to go.

[Frank-VA]

151 Days until The 2015 F.R.O.G Rally @ Goshen Ind.
Posted @ 1:53 AM EDLST

[SkipnTerri]

Originally Posted by F.R.O.G.

The fairgrounds can handle about 850 to 900 RVs, and we're expecting around 700-725, although I'm starting to think that might be a low figure. The big issue is being able to feed everyone. The building where we eat has been configured to hold nearly 2,000, although that requires switching from round to rectangular tables and is tight. I don't think we'll need to worry about being that tight, but we could have close to 1,500.

Our attendance in the past has been:
2012 = 208 RVs
2013 = 354 RVs
2014 = 510 RVs
2015 projected to be 700+

Everyone will have electricity and water, and everyone will have either a sewer hookup or a free pump-out midweek if desired. Registering early doesn't guarantee that you'll have 50-amp service or a sewer site. If you're interested in any of the optional tours, you'll want to register early because we expect virtually all of those to sell out. (All but one sold out last year.)

I did some more system testing this afternoon and at home tonight. There's a little more programming to do to tie the registration and payment systems together and to e-mail receipts and confirmations on the spot, but we're just about ready to go.

Thank you for the update!

[ResQfrog]

Thanks Phrank & Bob

[youroo]

Thanks Frank-VA & Frog Bob! Good news! Youroo!!

[Ramblin Recks]

Thank you for the update. We are looking forward to our first FROG rally!

[CSMRetired]

Thanks Mr. Phrank, and thanks for the info Bob

[Superchief]

Thanks Phrank!! ~n~ FROG Bob!!


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[BamaBob]

PHRANK....THANKS!!


FROG Bob - I'm with you Having nothing better to do with my morning <G> I did a moving trend analysis on the 3 data points (VERY scientifically unreliable BTW )


Came up with a notional range of 689 - 742 rigs, 715 projected


Yeah it's gonna be big!! You have DONE GOOD for 3 years FROG Bob!!

[tmmar]

Thanks Phrank and Frog Bob!!

[Superchief]

As to Youroo's concern: Per Oceanservice.noaa.gov, True tides—changes in water level caused by the gravitational forces of the sun and moon—do occur in a semi-diurnal (twice daily) pattern on the Great Lakes. Studies indicate that the Great Lakes spring tide, the largest tides caused by the combined forces of the sun and moon, is less than five centimeters in height. These minor variations are masked by the greater fluctuations in lake levels produced by wind and barometric pressure changes.

Consequently, the Great Lakes are considered to be non-tidal.

Water levels in the Great Lakes have long-term, annual, and short-term variations. Long-term variations depend on precipitation and water storage over many years. Annual variations occur with the changing seasons. There is an annual high in the late spring and low in the winter. These changes occur at a rate that can be measured in feet per month.

Wind and weather conditions on the Great Lakes may create a seiche, an oscillating wave which can be several feet high. In many of the Great Lakes, the time period between the “high” and “low” of a seiche may be between four and seven hours. As this is very similar to the six-hour time period of the tides on the ocean, it is frequently mistaken for a tide.


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[Superchief]

Youroo, to get a Lake Michigan OFS Water Level Forecast Guidance, there is a water level animation created with hourly plots from the latest LMOFS forecast guidance. The forecast guidance is for the next 30 hours of water levels as simulated by the model when the Lake Michigan is forced by meteorological parameters that are predicted by the National Weather Service models


http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/ofs...pe=wl_forecast


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[F.R.O.G.]

Originally Posted by HSVBamaBob

PHRANK....THANKS!!


FROG Bob - I'm with you Having nothing better to do with my morning <G> I did a moving trend analysis on the 3 data points (VERY scientifically unreliable BTW )


Came up with a notional range of 689 - 742 rigs, 715 projected


Yeah it's gonna be big!! You have DONE GOOD for 3 years FROG Bob!!

Thanks! I came to about the same result that you did using a SWAG Estimation Algorithm.